Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031941 0.037744 0.043777 0.050477 0.057673 0.065137 0.073431
2025-12-21 0.023205 0.031395 0.040449 0.051025 0.062878 0.075619 0.090222
2025-12-28 0.019695 0.029656 0.041192 0.055136 0.071198 0.088836 0.109414
2026-01-04 0.014420 0.024839 0.037586 0.053590 0.072550 0.093820 0.119057
2026-01-11 0.011535 0.022444 0.036434 0.054535 0.076438 0.101387 0.131343
2026-01-18 0.009042 0.020113 0.035027 0.054892 0.079403 0.107709 0.142047
2026-01-25 0.007048 0.018116 0.033787 0.055242 0.082189 0.113685 0.152236
2026-02-01 0.005260 0.016058 0.032222 0.054990 0.084093 0.118508 0.160988
2026-02-08 0.003253 0.013082 0.029037 0.052374 0.082875 0.119460 0.165080
2026-02-15 0.002136 0.011351 0.027443 0.051713 0.083982 0.123106 0.172256
2026-02-22 0.001485 0.010347 0.026831 0.052305 0.086622 0.128561 0.181537
2026-03-01 0.001017 0.009563 0.026473 0.053187 0.089589 0.134384 0.191231
2026-03-08 0.000733 0.009204 0.026870 0.055273 0.094321 0.142623 0.204138
2026-03-15 0.000392 0.008354 0.026357 0.056027 0.097318 0.148758 0.214579
2026-03-22 0.000385 0.008879 0.028286 0.060368 0.105081 0.160832 0.232208
2026-03-29 0.000076 0.007295 0.026244 0.058751 0.104853 0.162907 0.237714
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.006717 0.025982 0.059744 0.108085 0.169285 0.248420
2026-04-12 NaN 0.006000 0.025351 0.060118 0.110445 0.174543 0.257743
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005347 0.024749 0.060485 0.112762 0.179722 0.266954
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004586 0.023788 0.060221 0.114168 0.183714 0.274684
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003323 0.021379 0.057477 0.112027 0.183095 0.276669
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002675 0.020276 0.056783 0.112700 0.186050 0.283037
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002354 0.019975 0.057405 0.115220 0.191381 0.292342